P e r s p e c ti v e

extract from MMS Service 14-Jan-02


SADC does not realise that the world has changed 14-Jan-02

  Summary :   
The SADC leaders meeting in Malawi will be another ocassion of useless hand wringing about the turmoil in Zimbabwe and will further damage the image of the region as a possible destination for international investment.
  • The heads of state meeting of the fourteen nation Southern African Development Community (SADC) organisation, officially beginning in Blantyer, Malawi, on Monday, should not be expected to deliver anything by way of condemnation of Mugabe or the ZANU-PF. Agenda points for the day cover the DRC and Angolan conflicts, and work to be done in creating the African Union. While the west would like to see SADC putting pressure on Mugabe for at least a credible election in March, SADC will be looking for ways of raising the $5m necessary for the DRC talks scheduled to take place in SA in a few days time. Perhaps the USA and the EU will attempt to link sponsorship of the talks with some outputly visable pressure on Mugabe. Meanwhile, a new thread of logic, flawed as it might be, seems to be creeping through SADC rhetoric concerning Zimbabwe - how can SADC members act against power-holders in Zimbabwe if nobody there has asked them to do so?

 

  • SADC seems to believe that African leaders can still act irresponsibly as during the cold war period when such actions did not result in any painful consequences. Now the world has changed with China being a relatively weak donor in competition with the western dominated advanced economies. SADC will suffer if Zimbabwe is allowed to continue on its road of selfdestruction without any meaningful steps to slow or reverse this process. Quite frankly, the outcome of the past year was foreshadowed by the events of early 2000 and SADC's current problems are largely the result of its inaction of the past two years. The region will continue to suffer a dearth of foreign investment for years to come.
  • President Mbeki's approach so far has been embarassing in light of the idealistic vision that he has for Africa. The policies of his and his fellow SADC leaders ignore the principle of good governance and so on enunciated by him in his African initiative. The president seems reluctant to admit that because of his soft stance on Zimbabwe he has lost considerable moral authority, especially in the major economic powers of the world.

 

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e c o n o m e t r i x 14-Jan-02