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Econometrix is South Africa’s leading independent economic consultancy. Our economist team is headed up by Dr Azar Jammine, who has over forty years of experience and is one of the most well-known economists in the country. Econometrix provides economic research that focuses on macro-economic trend analysis (from a South African and global perspective) and in-depth economic forecasts.  We also focus on the analysis of economic trends within the various sectors of the economy.  In addition, we offer interactive economic consultations with companies, presentations, as well as customised research reports. 

FLAGSHIP REPORTS EXPERIAN DEBT INDEX
  •   Quarterly Economic Outlook 
    Dr Azar Jammine shares his insights in our latest Q1 report analyses the most recent global and South African economic developments in detail, and gives four-year forecasts of a significant number of domestic and international economic variables.
    Click here to purchase.

     

     

  •   Sector Focus
    The Q1 report is now available with economic industry analysis and detailed forecasts of key sector variables.
    Click here to purchase.

     

  •   Quarterly Consumer Outlook 
    The Q1 report analyses the latest trends in economic variables that impact directly on the consumer and retail market, and also includes detailed forecasts of key economic variables, consumption expenditure and retail sales.
    Click here to purchase.

     

  •   Quarterly Automotive Outlook 
    The report focuses on the latest South African and global commercial vehicle and truck market developments.  Forecasts of key economic variables, vehicle sales (passenger cars, LCV, MCV, HCV, XHCV and buses), oil and fuel prices and exchange rates, as well as a List Price Index model (containing a forecast for the escalation rates of top selling passenger and LCV’s), are also included.
    Click here to purchase.

Experian, in partnership with Econometrix, releases South Africa’s Business Debt Index (BDI) – a vital and unprecedented benchmark to interpret the state of business’s debt paying abilities.  The index measures the relative ability for business to pay its outstanding creditors on time and tracks macro-economic indicators that can impact on the ability of companies to pay its creditors.  The BDI is an indication of how the players in the business community in South Africa are settling their credit arrangements with suppliers – in other words, it is a reflection of the overall health of businesses.
For the latest BDI release click here
For a more detailed report regarding debt stress in South Africa by sector, please contact our sales team.

 

LATEST REPORTS

  • Ecobulletin: Manufacturing Production Recovers In February, But Not As Strongly As Mining Production

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  • Ecobulletin : Mining Production Recovers Sharply In February In Statistical Rebound From Depressed Production In January Due To New Year Holiday Configuration
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  • Ecobulletin: Gold And Forex Reserves Decline Substantially Further In March, Making For A $5bn Decline Since August

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  • Ecobulletin: Why Short-Term Impact Of Electricity Load Shedding On Economic Growth Is Being Exaggerated

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  • Ecobulletin: Strong Performance Of Commercial Vehicle Sales In March Supports The Notion Of Moderate Growth In Economy
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  • Revs Newsletter: Continuing disinflation in producer prices for transport equipment in February

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  • Ecobulletin: Mixed Signals About Manufacturing From March PMI, With Negative Short-Term Picture But Positive Longer Term Outlook

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  • Consumer Market Trends: Petrol price to rise by R1.62, the biggest ever monthly increase

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  • Consumer Market Trends: South Africa drops six places in the 2015 Doing Business rankings

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  • Ecobulletin: Government Revenue And Expenditure Growth Both Slow In January; Our Fear Is Of Still More Tax Hikes Next Year

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  • Ecobulletin: Shocking Record Trade Deficit In January: Disturbingly, Mineral Exports Continue Declining More Than Oil Imports

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  • Ecobulletin: Further Stabilisation In Unsecured Credit Extension In January Supports The View Of Some Economic Resilience

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  • Ecobulletin: Encouragingly Steep Declines In PPI Inflation In January Supportive Of Rates Remaining Unchanged For Several Months

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  • Ecobulletin: Just Enough Fiscal Austerity In Budget To Appease Ratings Agencies, So Long As Economy Doesn't Slow Still Further

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  • Consumer Market Trends :Petrol price to rise in March for first time in seven months

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  • Ecobulletin: Substantial Decline In December Leading Indicator Reverses Unexpectedly Sharp Increase In November

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  • Latest From Azar
    Rand Strengthens on weak US data.
    In line with our prediction based on cyclical movements in line with a seven-month cycle from low point to low point, the Rand has tracked back from its 13-year low of R12.52 to the Dollar, to levels around R11.80. The cycle suggests that the currency could gain a little more ground before reaching a peak in late May or in June. Based on the upward trading channel of the Dollar against the Rand, the South African currency could gain as far as about R11.30.    What is amazing is the manner in which economic data conspired to bring about thisrally in the Rand. Please login to access full article

     

  • Latest From Azar
    SARS once again manages to squeeze our considerable extra revenue from improved compliance, helping to meet budget deficit despite lower than expected growth. Based on the government revenue figures up until the end of February, we had calculated that, other things equal, the 3.9% of GDP deficit budgeted for 2014/15 in the February Budget, might be exceeded by 0.1% to 0.2%, which we did not believe was too serious. However, most encouragingly, in the final month of the 2014/15 fiscal year, viz. March, it appears that once again SARS managed to rake in a huge amount of extra revenue from closing tax loopholes and improved compliance.  Please login to access full article

     

  • Latest From Azar
    Zuma finally deserves accolades for sentiments on increased dependency on government for free goods and services. One is greatly encouraged by sentiments expressed by President Zuma at the South African Local Government Association (SALGA) national assembly. He was critical of an increased sense of laziness amongst the people which is linked to misconceived perceptions of what freedom really means. He was also implicitly critical of government policies which are eroding self-reliance and replacing it with a dependency syndrome on the government to provide everything free.  Please login to access full article

     

  • Latest From Azar
    SA's Dollar wealth levels hardly increase over seven years, but interesting trends within this. According to the Wealth Report SA just released to the media, the number of South African Dollar millionaires increased by just 9.4% between 2007 and 2014. This is despite the JSE breaching substantial new highs over this period. Part of this relative underperformance can be attributed to the depreciation of the Rand/Dollar exchange rate over that period, but it is also probably a function of the relative underperformance of the South African economy itself and its inability to generate wealth.  Please login to access full article

     

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Econometrix Park • 8 West Street
Houghton • Johannesburg • 2198
Tel • +27 11 483-1421 
Fax • +27 11 483-2498
sales@econometrix.co.za
info@econometrix.co.za